Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 333.490556 380.025017 432.491511 496.379551 572.546044 661.031378 772.466196
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 271.333590 332.943376 409.310179 512.385284 650.154182 831.303464 1093.298909
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 233.191713 300.039849 388.179572 515.705540 700.363779 966.123859 1393.469746
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 202.805572 270.313154 363.559796 505.905070 725.526759 1065.837982 1664.631633
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 183.177479 251.644812 350.101325 507.684323 765.156419 1192.407900 2012.046780
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 164.207699 231.104156 330.475543 495.818467 779.234426 1277.959930 2310.672844
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 150.579765 216.666549 317.818431 492.351117 805.492278 1388.901443 2693.077902
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 134.710565 197.049366 294.626469 467.690709 789.293528 1415.891854 2905.628540
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 129.755290 193.915268 297.336767 487.594700 858.283365 1626.344296 3618.633565
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 126.688046 193.392433 304.109950 515.456713 947.785192 1903.529271 4629.705126
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 119.538422 185.389040 297.117317 516.466599 982.357849 2066.302411 5406.997677
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 110.745361 173.841229 282.716414 501.167127 979.044509 2137.161101 5940.237371
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 102.816973 163.338358 269.536258 487.313334 978.173945 2218.724244 6574.276883
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 99.614682 160.853721 270.807304 503.195568 1049.414531 2515.148978 8194.431878
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 95.105800 155.637673 266.395432 506.435104 1090.951339 2742.540032 9729.952037
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 89.520160 148.028149 256.676730 496.854485 1098.448290 2871.022273 10942.577951
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 85.707393 143.391783 252.315107 498.593928 1135.855523 3107.967312 12921.935505
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 80.813086 136.385785 242.638773 486.992880 1135.100689 3218.281079 14344.038066
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 77.152322 131.470739 236.776829 483.602614 1156.830795 3417.019495 16539.092236
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 71.774639 122.937610 222.864357 459.486495 1114.730074 3367.656951 17075.388544
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 70.851850 122.966384 226.709743 478.951719 1205.652906 3867.750030 22288.403371
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 70.583082 124.246036 233.292805 506.192021 1327.660003 4561.510567 30661.275419
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 68.127341 120.990697 229.811833 507.179212 1365.979974 4910.553654 36719.271456